IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.2	#89
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#249
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#156

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#37

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	1.8%	2.2%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	4.5%	5.4%	1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.3%	19.1%	6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	15.4%	18.0%	6.1%
Average Seed	8.2	8.1	9.1

.500 or above	30.4%	35.4%	12.3%
.500 or above in Conference	14.0%	16.0%	6.8%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	38.6%	35.0%	51.4%

First Four	2.5%	2.8%	1.3%
First Round	15.1%	17.7%	5.9%
Second Round	7.6%	8.9%	2.9%
Sweet Sixteen	2.7%	3.2%	0.9%
Elite Eight	1.0%	1.2%	0.3%
Final Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 8	1 - 8
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 3	5 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 1	8 - 16
Quad 4	4 - 0	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	144	Drake	W	72-64	78%
Nov 27, 2020	50	Colorado	L	67-68	48%
Nov 30, 2020	275	UMKC	W	72-56	92%
Dec 05, 2020	102	UNLV	W	71-66	66%
Dec 08, 2020	272	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-61	92%
Dec 11, 2020	51	@ Butler	L	60-67	28%
Dec 15, 2020	71	@ Iowa St.	L	69-74	34%
Dec 19, 2020	2	Baylor	L	62-71	22%
Dec 21, 2020	297	Jacksonville	W	74-57	93%
Dec 29, 2020	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	76-65	84%
Jan 02, 2021	69	TCU	W	64-63	54%
Jan 05, 2021	14	@ Texas Tech	L	61-73	15%
Jan 09, 2021	42	Oklahoma St.	L	68-69	45%
Jan 13, 2021	71	Iowa St.	W	72-71	54%
Jan 16, 2021	15	@ Texas	L	59-71	16%
Jan 19, 2021	29	@ Oklahoma	L	65-74	23%
Jan 23, 2021	7	West Virginia	L	66-73	29%
Jan 27, 2021	2	@ Baylor	L	59-74	11%
Jan 30, 2021	78	Texas A&M	W	64-62	57%
Feb 02, 2021	4	@ Kansas	L	60-74	12%
Feb 06, 2021	14	Texas Tech	L	64-70	31%
Feb 09, 2021	15	Texas	L	62-68	33%
Feb 13, 2021	42	@ Oklahoma St.	L	65-72	27%
Feb 16, 2021	4	Kansas	L	63-71	26%
Feb 20, 2021	69	@ TCU	L	61-66	34%
Feb 23, 2021	29	Oklahoma	L	68-71	41%
Feb 27, 2021	7	@ West Virginia	L	63-76	14%
Projected Record						12 - 15	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.6	1st
2nd											0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.7	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0						2.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.2	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.6	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0								5.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.2	3.5	1.6	0.2	0.0									8.1	6th
7th					0.1	1.1	4.1	4.2	2.0	0.2	0.0										11.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.4	2.3	5.8	5.4	1.9	0.2												16.2	8th
9th		0.2	1.6	5.3	7.6	5.5	1.4	0.2													21.7	9th
10th	2.4	5.7	8.3	7.0	3.6	1.1	0.1														28.2	10th

Total	2.4	5.8	9.9	12.7	13.6	13.5	11.5	8.9	7.5	5.5	3.9	2.2	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0				Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	98.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0
15-3	78.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	49.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	28.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1
12-6	7.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	41.7%	58.3%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	36.8%	63.2%	1.9		0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0													100.0%
14-4	0.3%		100.0%	14.6%	85.4%	2.8		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	0.7%		100.0%	16.9%	83.1%	3.9		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
12-6	1.2%		99.9%	6.8%	93.1%	5.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.9%
11-7	2.2%		97.8%	7.3%	90.5%	6.5			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		97.6%
10-8	3.9%		90.9%	3.1%	87.8%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		90.6%
9-9	5.5%		73.5%	2.6%	70.9%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0			1.5		72.8%
8-10	7.5%		38.3%	2.4%	35.9%	10.4					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0		4.6		36.8%
7-11	8.9%		11.0%	1.2%	9.8%	11.6								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0		7.9		10.0%
6-12	11.5%		2.1%	0.3%	1.8%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0	11.3		1.8%
5-13	13.5%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	13.5													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	13.5		0.1%
4-14	13.6%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		13.6
3-15	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
2-16	9.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
1-17	5.8%																							5.8
0-18	2.4%																							2.4

Total	100%		16.3%	1.1%	15.2%	8.2		0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.1	1.5	1.9	2.2	2.0	1.6	1.7	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	83.7		15.4%